BUBBLE(S) by XCOPY
a survival game where RNG picks wallets, not tokens
The Game
All bubbles = one ERC-1155 token ID. Every wallet holding ≥1 bubble is in the pool.
Each epoch is 1 day (24 hours). Every epoch, RNG does ~657 random picks from the wallet pool and pops 1 bubble per pick.
Key thing: selection is per wallet, NOT weighted by how many you hold. But a wallet can be picked more than once per epoch if it still holds bubbles.
not how many bubbles exist
More Wallets = Less Risk
Fewer holders = you're way more likely to get hit.
More holders = the RNG has more targets to spread across.
| Holders | Your Odds | Vibe |
|---|---|---|
| 1,000,000 | 0.27% | chillin |
| 100,000 | 2.70% | comfy |
| 10,000 | 23.97% | kinda spicy |
| 1,000 | 93.55% | ngmi |
| 100 | ~100% | rekt |
Math on Getting Rekt
avg pops = 657 ÷ number of wallets
| Wallets | Avg Lost/Day |
|---|---|
| 100,000 | 0.0274 bubbles |
| 10,000 | 0.274 bubbles |
| 1,000 | 2.74 bubbles |
Same Bag, Different Odds
you hold 10 bubbles. same supply. totally different risk depending on how many ppl are playing:
| Scenario | Pop Odds | Damage |
|---|---|---|
| 100k holders | ~2.7% | 1 bubble every 36 days |
| 10k holders | ~24% | 1 bubble every 3.6 days |
Whales vs Smol Holders
Plot twist: whales don't have higher odds of getting picked. RNG selects wallets, not tokens.
but when you DO get hit:
• smol bag → could get fully wiped
• whale → loses 1 per pick, keeps swimming
big bags = survival insurance, not immunity.
your fallen soldiers are remembered on-chain forever.
The Long Game
at current ~0.114% burn per day:
• ~1.14% gone every 10 days
• ~11.4% gone every 100 days
this is slow burn deflation, not a race to pop. XCOPY says he wants it running 10+ years.
many holders = slow fade
How to Play
- don't split across wallets, each wallet = new target in the lottery
- lots of holders = you can chill
- holders dropping fast = get nervous
- watch the holder count more than supply. that's the real alpha.
TL;DR
— bubbles alive. ~657 get popped daily = — deflation per day. your risk isn't about supply, it's about how many wallets are playing. rn with — holders you have — odds of getting hit each day. gm