BUBBLE(S) by XCOPY
a survival game where every bubble has equal odds
The Game
All bubbles = one ERC-1155 token ID. Every epoch is 1 day (24 hours).
Each epoch, RNG does ~657 random picks from the entire supply and pops them.
Key thing: selection is per NFT. Every single bubble has the exact same chance of getting popped. The more you hold, the more exposure you have.
your exposure = your bag size
Equal Odds for Every Bubble
Every bubble has the same chance of getting popped.
Doesn't matter who owns it. Doesn't matter which wallet. Pure RNG across the supply.
| Your Bag | Chance You Lose ≥1 | Vibe |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bubble | 0.03% | chillin |
| 10 bubbles | 0.29% | comfy |
| 100 bubbles | 2.8% | kinda spicy |
| 1,000 bubbles | 25% | ngmi |
Math on Getting Rekt
your expected loss = your bag × (657 ÷ total supply)
| Your Bag | Avg Lost/Day |
|---|---|
| 10 bubbles | 0.0029 bubbles |
| 100 bubbles | 0.029 bubbles |
| 1,000 bubbles | 0.29 bubbles |
| 10,000 bubbles | 2.9 bubbles |
Your Exposure Scales With Your Bag
everyone loses at the same rate (~0.029% of their bag per day). but absolute numbers look different:
| Bag Size | Expected Loss/Day | Time to Lose 1 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 bubbles | 0.0029 | ~1 year |
| 100 bubbles | 0.029 | ~35 days |
| 1,000 bubbles | 0.29 | ~3.5 days |
Whales vs Smol Holders
The math is fair: everyone loses the same percentage of their stack over time.
• whale with 10k → loses ~2.9/day, but that's 0.029% of bag
• smol with 100 → loses ~0.029/day, also 0.029% of bag
no advantage, no disadvantage. pure proportional exposure.
your fallen soldiers are remembered on-chain forever.
The Long Game
at current ~0.114% burn per day:
• ~1.14% gone every 10 days
• ~11.4% gone every 100 days
this is slow burn deflation, not a race to pop. XCOPY says he wants it running 10+ years.
the game accelerates over time
How to Play
- wallet splitting is pointless — RNG picks NFTs, not wallets
- your exposure scales linearly with your bag size
- as supply drops = pop rate per bubble goes up
- watch the supply count — that's what determines the burn rate
TL;DR
— bubbles alive. ~657 get popped daily = — deflation per day. every bubble has equal odds of getting popped. rn each bubble has — chance per day. your exposure = your bag size. gm